Political Economy of Security (Princeton Univeristy Press, forthcoming)
Command of Commerce: America's Enduring Economic Power Advantage over China (Oxford University Press, 2025), with Ben Vagle.
America Abroad: The United States' Global Role in the 21st Century (Oxford University Press, 2016), with William Wohlforth. [MORE INFO.]
"The Trade Truce: When Economic Interdependence Does--and Doesn't--Promote Peace," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 103, No. 4 (July/August 2004), pp. 141-147.
"The Myth of Multipolarity: American Power's Staying Power," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 102, No. 3 (May/June 2023), with William Wohlforth, pp. 76-91.
"What's Fair in International Politics? Equity, Equality, and Foreign Policy Attitudes" Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 66, No. 2 (February/March 2002), with Kathleen Powers, Joshua Kertzer, and Deborah Brooks, pp. 217-245.
"Do Partisan Types Stop at the Water's Edge?" Journal of Politics, Vol. 43, No. 4 (October 2021), with Joshua Kertzer and Deborah Brooks, pp. 1764-1782.
"Illusions of Autonomy: Why Europe Cannot Provide for Its Security if the U.S. Pulls Back," International Security, Vol. 45, No. 4 (Spring 2021), with Hugo Meijer, pp 7-43. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"The Demographic Transition Theory of War: Why Young Societies are Conflict Prone and Old Societies are the Most Peaceful," International Security, Vol. 43, No. 3 (Winter 2018/19), with Deborah Jordan Brooks, Brian Greenhill, and Mark L. Haas, pp. 53-95.
"Don't Come Home, America: The Case Against Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 37, No. 3 (Winter 2012/2013), pp. 7-51, with G. John Ikenberry and William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers in the 21st Century: China's Rise and the Fate of America's Global Position," International Security, Vol. 40, No. 3: 7-48 (Winter 2015/16), with William Wohlforth, pp. 7-48. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"The Once and Future Superpower: Why China Won't Overtake the United States," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 95, No. 3 (May/June 2016), pp. 91-104, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"Economic Actors' Lobbying Influence on the Prospects for War and Peace," International Organization, Vol. 67, No. 4 (Fall 2013), pp. 863-888. [LINK TO PDF]
"Lean Forward: In Defense of American Engagement, " Foreign Affairs, Vol. 92, No. 1 (January/February 2013), pp. 130-142, with G. John Ikenberry and William Wohlforth. [LINK TO PDF]
"Reshaping the World Order: How Washington Should Reform International Institutions," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 88, No. 2 (March/April 2009), pp. 49-63, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"International Relations Theory and the Case Against Unilateralism," Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 3, No. 3 (September 2005), pp. 509-524, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"Hard Times for Soft Balancing," International Security, Vol. 30, No. 1 (Summer 2005), pp. 72-108, with William C. Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"A Double-Edged Sword: Globalization and Biosecurity," International Security, Vol. 28, No. 3 (Winter 2003/04), pp.123-148, with Kendall Hoyt. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"American Primacy in Perspective," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 81, No. 4 (July/August 2002), pp. 20-33, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"From Old Thinking to New Thinking in Qualitative Research," International Security, Vol. 26, No.4 (Spring 2002), pp. 93-111, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"Power, Globalization, and the End of the Cold War: Reevaluating a Landmark Case for Ideas," International Security, Vol. 53, No. 3 (Winter 2000-01, pp. 5-53, with William Wohlforth. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"The Globalization of Production and the Changing Benefits of Conquest," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 43, No. 5 (October 1999), pp. 646-670. [DOWNLOAD PDF]
"Dueling Realisms," International Organization, Vol. 51, No. 3 (Summer 1997), pp. 445-477. [DOWNLOAD PDF]